References
ALNAP (2018) The State of the Humanitarian System 2018. London: ALNAP/ODI (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/sohs-2018-full-report/).
ALNAP (2022) The State of the Humanitarian System 2022. London: ALNAP/ODI (https://alnap.org/help-library/sohs-2022/).
Baker, J. and Salway, M. (2016) Development of a proposal for a methodology to cost inter-agency humanitarian response plans. Independent report (https:// alnap.org/help-library/resources/development-of-a-proposal-for-a-methodology-to-cost-inter-agency-humanitarian-response/).
Barbelet, V., Flint, J., Kerkvliet, E. and Phillips, S. (2024) Harnessing evidence and learning for people centred humanitarian action: evidence synthesis and best practice review on AAP, inclusion and localisation. London: ALNAP/ODI (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/harnessing-evidence-and-learning-for-people-centred-humanitarian-action/).
Barter, D., Kattakuzhy, A. and Johnson, R. (2025) ‘Beyond the reset: five priorities for genuine humanitarian transformation’, The New Humanitarian, 19 June (https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/opinion/2025/06/19/beyond-reset-five-priorities-genuine-humanitarian-transformation).
Darcy, J. and Hofmann, C.-A. (2003) ‘Humanitarian needs assessment and decision-making’. HPG Briefing 13 London: ODI/HPG (https://odi.org/en/publications/humanitarian-needs-assessment-and-decision-making/).
de Geoffroy, V., Léon, V. and Beuret, A. (2015) Evidence-based decision-making for funding allocations. Plaisians: Groupe URD (www.urd.org/en/publication/ report-evidence-based-decision-making-for-funding-allocations-2015/).
EC – European Commission (n.d.) ‘A stronger Europe in the world: reinforcing our responsible global leadership’. Brussels: EC (https://commission.europa.eu/ strategy-and-policy/priorities-2019-2024/stronger-europe-world_en).
Elrha (2018) Too tough to scale? Challenges to scaling innovation in the humanitarian sector. Cardiff: Elrha (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/too-tough-to-scale-challenges-to-scaling-innovation-in-the-humanitarian-sector/).
Fletcher, T. (2025) ‘The humanitarian reset – ERC letter to IASC Principals (11 March 2025)’. Geneva: OCHA (https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/ world/humanitarian-reset-erc-letter-iasc-principals-11-march-2025).
Ground Truth Solutions (2025) What crisis affected communities need from a humanitarian reset. Vienna: Ground Truth Solutions (www.groundtruthsolutions. org/library/what-crisis-affected-communities-need-from-a-humanitarian-reset).
Healy, S. and Tiller, S. (2014) Where is everyone? Responding to emergencies in the most difficult places. London: Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) (https://msf.org. uk/sites/default/files/2020-09/msf-whereiseveryone_-def-lr_-_july.pdf).
IARAN – Inter-Agency Research and Analysis Network (2025) Future of aid 2040: pathways to transformation. London: IARAN (https://static1.squarespace.com/ static/593eb9e7b8a79bc4102fd8aa/t/68cad6dbb725f75aee46f6 7c/1758123739305/Future+Aid+2040+main+report+scenarios+fv.pdf).
Kerwin, D. (2025) ‘Trump’s foreign aid cuts are ending lives - and US influence’. New York: Bloomberg (https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-07-10/trump-s-aid-cuts-are-killing-people-and-us-global-influence)
Knox-Clarke, P. and Darcy, J. (2014) ‘Insufficient evidence? The quality and use of evidence in humanitarian decision-making’. London: ALNAP/ODI (https://alnap. org/help-library/resources/insufficient-evidence-the-quality-and-use-of-evidence-in-humanitarian-action-alnap/).
Obrecht, A. (2017) Using evidence to allocate humanitarian resources: challenges and opportunities. ALNAP Working Paper. London: ALNAP/ODI (https://alnap. org/help-library/resources/working-paper-using-evidence-to-allocate-humanitarian-resources-challenges-and/).
Obrecht, (2025) Choosing humanitarian priorities: deciding who and how to help. ALNAP paper. London: ALNAP/ODI Global (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/choosing-humanitarian-priorities-how-to-think-clearly-about-what-matters-most-pdf/)
Obrecht, A. and Swithern, S. (2025) ‘Our priorities reveal which humanitarian future we really want: are we ready to be honest about them?’. London: ALNAP/ ODI Global (https://alnap.org/commentary-multimedia/index/our-priorities-reveal-the-humanitarian-future-we-really-want-are-we-ready-to-be-honest-about-them/).
OCHA – United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (n.d.) ‘Facilitation package’. OCHA Knowledge Base. Geneva: OCHA (https:// knowledge.base.unocha.org/wiki/spaces/hpc/pages/3992518696/ Facilitation+Package).
OCHA (2025a) Global humanitarian overview 2025 – the cruel math of aid cuts (hyper-prioritised report). Geneva: OCHA (www.unocha.org/publications/report/16world/global-humanitarian-overview-2025-cruel-math-aid-cuts-hyper-prioritized-report-june-2025).
OCHA (2025b) ‘Afghanistan: urgently prioritised HNRP’. Geneva: OCHA (www. unocha.org/publications/report/afghanistan/afghanistan-glance-urgently-prioritized-hnrp).
Phelps, L. and Chandaria, S. (2025) Synthesising lessons and promising practices for country-level coordination in delivery of joined-up humanitarian cash and social protection. London: Social Protection Technical Assistance, Advice and Resources (STAAR), DAI Global UK Ltd (https://socialprotection.org/discover/ publications/synthesising-lessons-and-promising-practices-country-level-coordination).
Saez, P., Konyndyk, J. and Worden, R. (2021) ‘Rethinking humanitarian reform: what will it take to truly change the system?’. Washington, DC: Center for Global Development (www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/Rethinking-humanitarian-reform-what-will-it-take.pdf).
Simons, B. (2025) ‘Our interconnected humanitarian data and analysis ecosystem: resilience, reckoning?’, 17 April. London: Humanitarian Practice Network/ODI Global (https://odihpn.org/en/publication/our-interconnected-humanitarian-data-and-analysis-ecosystem-resilience-reckoning/).
Stoddard, A., Poole, L., Taylor, G. and Willitts-King, B et al (2017) Efficiency and inefficiency in humanitarian financing. London: Humanitarian Outcomes (https:// humanitarianoutcomes.org/sites/default/files/publications/humanitarian_ financing_efficiency_.pdf).
Swithern, S. (2018) Underfunded appeals: understanding the consequences, improving the system. EBA report 2018:09. Stockholm: Expert Group for Aid Studies (https://eba.se/en/reports/underfunded-appeals-understanding-the-consequences-improving-the-system/9615/).
Swithern, S. (2024) Revitalising the Good Humanitarian Donorship initiative: a 20-year review. London: ODI (https://media.odi.org/documents/HPG_report- GHD-final_JbW0Itp.pdf).
UN – United Nations (2025) UN 80 Initiative – shifting paradigms: united to deliver. Workstream 3: changing structures and realigning programmes. New York: United Nations (https://www.un.org/un80-initiative/sites/default/ files/2025-09/UN80_WS3-1_250921_1238.pdf).
Worley, W. (2025a) ‘Mozambique: a case study of growing need and global aid cut confusion’, The New Humanitarian, 10 September (www.thenewhumanitarian. org/analysis/2025/09/10/mozambique-case-study-growing-need-global-aid-cut-confusion).
Worley, W. (2025b) ‘Aid cuts and elections: how the humanitarian rollback has caused “chaos” in Cameroon’, The New Humanitarian, 13 October (www. thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/2025/10/13/aid-cuts-elections-how-humanitarian-aid-rollback-caused-chaos-cameroon).
Worley, W. (2025c). ‘Humanitarian data drought: the deeper damage wrought by U aid cuts.’ The New Humanitarian, 25 March 2025 (https://www. thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/2025/03/25/humanitarian-data-drought-deeper-damage-wrought-us-aid-cuts).
Introduction
-
For example, reports from Mozambique highlight the in-country confusion caused by the reversal of plans to transition out of a humanitarian footing, and the implications of the hyper-prioritisation of the Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan (HNRP) against the backdrop of escalating needs (Worley, 2025a). Similarly, in Cameroon, reports suggest that the ‘accelerated transition’ to a development footing, sped up by aid cuts, has been marked by a lack of clarity and structured attention to gap-filling and risk management (Worley, 2025b).
-
Since late 2023, ALNAP has been talking with people across the humanitarian sector about the prioritisation challenges they face, including in our podcast series ‘A matter of priorities’. Building on this, in June 2025, we published a commentary piece that sets out a framework for considering prioritisation choices (Obrecht and Swithern, 2025). This paper expands on that piece.
Chapter 2: Framing the types of decision-making challenges
-
See, inter alia, Saez et al (2021).
-
For example, the Afghanistan ‘reprioritised’ HNRP is one of only a few of these country plans which gives an account of its methodology in any detail. It notes that clusters reduced activities and targets by factoring in response gaps analysis from the first half of 2024 and anticipated future funding shortfalls. ‘Given the current context and funding climate, however, clusters were asked to further prioritize by i) focusing primarily on life-saving activities under SO1 and protection-related activities under SO2 and dropping activities with low reach in 2024; ii) reducing the proportion of people targeted in line with projected declines in resources available; iii) and considering no longer responding in provinces where partners have recalibrated or reduced their presence’ (OCHA, 2025b).
-
For example, for some donors, core funding to UN agencies is handled by their respective ministries of foreign affairs, while programmatic funding to UN agencies and others is handled by the development ministry or department. For several donors, overall funding ‘envelopes’ are decided at headquarters level, while programmatic allocation decisions are devolved to country level.
-
See, for example, Darcy and Hofmann (2003); Knox-Clarke and Darcy (2014); Obrecht (2017); de Geoffroy et al (2015); Swithern (2018).
-
For example, FEWSNET – for 40 years the primary framework and mechanism for prioritising humanitarian responses to food insecurity, which is the largest humanitarian sector – was an early casualty of the US aid freeze. Dan Maxwell of the Feinstein International Center has expressed the impacts of this on prioritisation and decision-making: ‘My fear is that [it] would mean that there is no evidence on which to base the choice of [how to] allocate more food assistance’ (Worley, 2025c).
-
For example, evidence from multiple countries shows how humanitarian agencies have bypassed national social protection systems (see Phelps and Chandaria, 2025), and localisation studies repeatedly highlight the lack of understanding about national and local informal responses and safety nets (see Barbelet et al, 2024).
-
Some attempts have been made to overcome this – most notably with the Dioptra tool, a multi-INGO initiative to create a web-based cost analysis tool to use existing financial and monitoring data to rapidly estimate cost-efficiency of programme interventions. See https://www.dioptratool.org/.
-
The US was unequivocal about its aid priorities being politically driven, noting that it would fund ‘disaster relief when it fulfils the President’s foreign policy aims’ (Kerwin, 2025); the European Union’s (EU) official development assistance (ODA) is being reprioritised away from service provision towards a greater emphasis on infrastructure – in line with principles of its global gateway programme, framed as promoting economic development for EU partners as well as ensuring EU member states’ private-sector investments and competitiveness (EC, n.d.).
-
For example, cost-effectiveness and responsible use of resources are articulated as a key aim by some, and this aim was included in previous iterations of this tool (see Obrecht and Swithern, 2025). But we do not include it here as this objective is regarded as a means to achieving ‘higher order’ humanitarian purposes – such as saving lives.
-
As noted in our commentary piece (ibid.), life-saving can mean: whom we are trying to target for assistance (i.e. those in most significant life threatening circumstances); the outcomes we are trying to achieve (i.e. reducing excess mortality rates in particular populations); the services we are willing to deliver (i.e. food security versus education); or the timeframe in which we will operate (i.e. 90 days opposed to 90 months).
Chapter 3: Addressing purpose-related trade-offs and tensions
-
For example, strategic documents published by some organisations offer localisation and community empowerment as a framing principle, but they go on to describe a pre-set sectoral menu.
-
See the principles chapter in ALNAP (2022).
-
The UN 80 Humanitarian Compact does not address the question of organisational configuration and resourcing for diplomacy, but it does emphasise the need to bring agencies together to speak with one voice under a new Collaborative Humanitarian Diplomacy Initiative (UN, 2025).