References
Aljazeera (2025) ‘UN will cut 2026 budget by $577m by slashing workforce’, Aljazeera, 2 December (https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/un-will-cut-2026-budget-by- 577m-by-slashing-workforce).
ALNAP (2025a) Assessing the impact of US funding cuts on communities and humanitarian response: case studies from South Sudan and Mali. London: ODI Global/ ALNAP (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/assessing-the-impact-of-us-funding-cuts-on-communities-and-humanitarian-response-e-report/).
ALNAP (2025b) Prioritising humanitarian resources: how to think clearly about what matters most. London: ODI Global/ALNAP (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/ prioritising-humanitarian-resources-how-to-think-clearly-about-what-matters-most-pdf/).
ALNAP (2025c) Prioritising humanitarian resources: how to decide who receives what kind of support. London: ODI Global/ALNAP (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/ prioritising-humanitarian-resources-how-to-decide-who-receives-what-kind-of-support-pdf/).
ALNAP (2025d) Global Humanitarian Assistance Report 2025. London: ODI Global/ ALNAP (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/global-humanitarian-assistance-gha-report-2025-e-report/).
Cavalcanti, D., de Oliveira Ferreira de Sales, L., Ferreira da Silva, A., et al (2025) ‘Evaluating the impact of two decades of USAID interventions and projecting the effects of defunding on mortality up to 2030: a retrospective impact evaluation and forecasting analysis’, The Lancet 406: 28394 (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/evaluating-the-impact-of-two-decades-of-usaid-interventions-and-projecting-the-effects-of-defunding-on-mortality-up-to-2030-a-retrospective-impact-evaluation-and-forecasting-analysis/).
Clark, R.A., McQuaid, F., Richards, A.S., et al (2025) ‘The potential impact of reductions in international donor funding on tuberculosis in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study’. The Lancet Global Health 13(9): e1517–e1524 (https:// alnap.org/help-library/resources/the-potential-impact-of-reductions-in-international-donor-funding-on-tuberculosis-in-low-income-and-middle-income-countries-a-modelling-study/).
Donnelly, C. and Dhingra, R. (2024) ‘Making the “new normal” of humanitarian funding work for displaced communities’. Forced Migration Review 74 (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/making-the-new-normal-of-humanitarian-funding-work-for-displaced-communities/).
Donor tracker (2025) ‘The budget cuts tracker’. Berlin: Donor Tracker (https:// donortracker.org/publications/budget-cuts-tracker#how-are-individual-donors-oda-levels-projected-to-change).
FAO – Food and Agriculture Organization and WFP – World Food Programme (2025) ‘Hunger hotspots. FAO–WFP early warnings on acute food insecurity: November 2025 to May 2026 outlook’. Rome: FAO and WFP (https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7310en).
ICVA – International Council of Voluntary Agencies (2025a) ‘The impacts of the US funding suspension, ICVA: survey findings, 18 February 2025’. Geneva: ICVA (https:// www.icvanetwork.org/uploads/2025/02/Impact-of-US-Funding-Suspension-Survey- Results-ICVA.pdf).
ICVA (2025b) ‘The IASC Humanitarian Reset examined: a strategic briefing for NGOs’. Geneva: ICVA (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/the-humanitarian-reset-examined-a-strategic-briefing-for-ngos/).
Krugman, D., Smith, J. and Abimola, S. (2025) ‘Global health after USAID cuts’. The Lancet 406(10520): 2628 (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140- 6736(25)02018-5/fulltext).
Nayanaran, U. (2025) Aid sector in transition: challenges, ethics and adaptation. Lahore: Community World Service (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/aid-sector-transition-challenges-ethics-adaptation/).
NEAR – Network for Empowered Aid Response (2025) Under pressure: how INGOs are responding to the aid funding crisis and what it reveals about the fragility of localisation commitments. Nairobi: NEAR (https://static1.squarespace.com/ static/5fc4fd249698b02c7f3acfe9/t/6880fd9c521d810929156313/1753283998982/ INGO+Policy+Brief-1.pdf).
OCHA – United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (n.d.) ‘Coordinated plans 2025’. Geneva: OCHA (https://fts.unocha.org/plans/overview/2025).
OCHA (2025a) US funding freeze global survey, round 1: results presentation. Geneva: OCHA (https://humanitarianaction.info/document/us-funding-freeze-global-survey/ article/us-funding-freeze-global-survey-round-1-results-presentation).
OCHA (2025b) Global Humanitarian Overview 2026. Geneva: OCHA (https://alnap.org/ help-library/resources/global-humanitarian-overview-2026/).
OCHA (2025c) Charting the way forward in a new reality: HPC 2026 discussion paper. Geneva: OCHA (https://knowledge.base.unocha.org/wiki/spaces/hpc/ pages/3992518696/Facilitation+Package).
OCHA (2025d) ‘Somalia: Monthly humanitarian update, September and October 2025’. Geneva: OCHA (https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/somalia/monthly-humanitarian-update-september-and-october-2025).
OCHA (2025e) ‘The Humanitarian Reset – ERC Letter to IASC Principals (11 March 2025)’. Geneva: OCHA (https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/world/ humanitarian-reset-erc-letter-iasc-principals-11-march-2025).
OCHA (2025f) A hyper-prioritized Global Humanitarian Overview 2025: the cruel math of aid cuts. Geneva: OCHA (https://alnap.org/help-library/resources/global-humanitarian-overview-2025-the-cruel-math-of-aid-cuts/).
SIDA, L., Nelis, T., Proudfoot, P., et al (2025) Flagship Initiative Second Year Learning Report. Brighton: Institute of Development Studies (https://alnap.org/help-library/ resources/flagship-initiative-second-year-learning-2025/).
Simons, B. (2025) ‘Our interconnected humanitarian data and analysis ecosystem: resilience, reckoning?’. London: Humanitarian Practice Network (https://odihpn.org/ publication/our-interconnected-humanitarian-data-and-analysis-ecosystem-resilience-reckoning/).
Somali NGO Consortium (2025) Survey assessing the impact of funding cuts. Mogadishu: Somali NGO Consortium.
Swithern, S. and Obrecht, A. (2025) ‘Our priorities reveal which humanitarian future we really want: are we ready to be honest about them?’. London: ODI Global/ALNAP (https://alnap.org/commentary-multimedia/index/our-priorities-reveal-the-humanitarian-future-we-really-want-are-we-ready-to-be-honest-about-them/).
TNH (2025) ‘Humanitarian data drought: the deeper damage wrought by US aid cuts’, The New Humanitarian, 25 March (https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/ analysis/2025/03/25/humanitarian-data-drought-deeper-damage-wrought-us-aid-cuts).
US Department of State (2025) ‘Congressional budget justification Department of State, foreign operations, and related programs, fiscal year 2026’. Washington, DC: US Department of State (https://www.state.gov/fy-2026-international-affairs-budget/).
White House, The (2025) ‘Reevaluating and realigning United States foreign aid’. Presidential action, 20 January. Washington, DC: The White House (https://www.state. gov/fy-2026-international-affairs-budget/).
Zimonjic, P. (2025) ‘Budget’s $2.7B cut to foreign aid leaves international development in limbo, say NGOs’, CBC News, 8 November (https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/carney-budget-international-development-assistance-9.6971350).
Chapter 1: The funding story of 2025
-
This funding was heavily concentrated and these five countries received 78% of the US government’s country allocable humanitarian funding in 2025.
-
See OCHA (n.d.). Figures are adjusted for inflation using the average deflator for OECD DAC countries in 2023 prices. The amount of funding to appeals in 2016 in current prices was US$12.5 billion.
Chapter 2: Organisational triage and the rolling toll of job cuts
-
Of 50 respondents, only 12 (24%) disagreed with the statement ‘The organisation did the best they could in the circumstances’.
Chapter 3: A shrinking lens and a shrinking footprint
-
The methodological basis for this reduction is unclear. The GHO describes a ‘refined methodology that pinpoints where and who has been most affected by shocks – including conflict, climate and geological disasters, epidemics and animal and plant pests and diseases – and determines the most critical needs within these areas’. And it references the intersectoral severity as defined in the Joint and Intersectoral Analysis Framework (JIAF) (OCHA, 2025b).
-
This trend was already in train before the 2025 funding shock. Donnelly and Dhingra (2024) note, for example: ‘During a recent visit to Somalia, we heard how geographical prioritisation has meant that more stable areas have been deprioritised as part of the humanitarian response. But development donors have yet to fill the vacuum, meaning that hard-won gains in areas hosting thousands of IDPs and recovering from drought may be reversed.’
Chapter 4: Towards managed decline - bracing for sustained and continued cuts
-
Germany recently announced that it will also restructure its aid departments which includes the dissolution of the Department for Crisis Prevention, Peacebuilding, and Humanitarian Aid within the Foreign Office.
-
These good practices include: listening to partners; good communication; exploring alternative funding for local organisations; prioritising local organisations in asset and resource allocation; mobilising flexible funding; collaborative cost saving; supporting the fundraising of local and national organisations; creating visibility for local and national organisations.
Chapter 5: Flying blind - insight gaps for evidence-based prioritisation
-
Key informant interview
-
Key informant interview